Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.150731 1.364775 1.588549 1.838429 2.108235 2.389475 2.703519
2025-01-26 0.892020 1.199403 1.540696 1.941168 2.392291 2.879609 3.440947
2025-02-02 0.773231 1.133984 1.550789 2.054948 2.636905 3.277946 4.028484
2025-02-09 0.690949 1.096541 1.581800 2.183759 2.892253 3.684513 4.623514
2025-02-16 0.604404 1.038447 1.575682 2.257872 3.074867 4.000484 5.109018
2025-02-23 0.511502 0.959342 1.534092 2.281434 3.191837 4.236267 5.499366
2025-03-02 0.395547 0.833028 1.420841 2.207200 3.184161 4.320819 5.710322
2025-03-09 0.294931 0.712681 1.303738 2.118493 3.151088 4.369213 5.873827
2025-03-16 0.226042 0.628301 1.226425 2.073473 3.165654 4.469186 6.093169
2025-03-23 0.190271 0.591894 1.212156 2.107839 3.276735 4.683023 6.445208
2025-03-30 0.152277 0.544339 1.177373 2.111562 3.346736 4.845468 6.734980
2025-04-06 0.111779 0.482407 1.115556 2.074418 3.361492 4.938333 6.939928
2025-04-13 0.099743 0.479131 1.147107 2.172107 3.558277 5.264530 7.437540
2025-04-20 0.090839 0.481449 1.187701 2.283641 3.775060 5.618044 7.971575
2025-04-27 0.085334 0.490240 1.237873 2.408060 4.008102 5.991139 8.528680
2025-05-04 0.082750 0.505673 1.298871 2.548186 4.262291 6.391180 9.119326
2025-05-11 0.071786 0.496904 1.318794 2.628760 4.437646 6.693080 9.591189
2025-05-18 0.055239 0.467441 1.301681 2.654332 4.539230 6.902406 9.950385
2025-05-25 0.031108 0.400754 1.214648 2.573696 4.496406 6.928819 10.085259
2025-06-01 0.013482 0.334759 1.120636 2.477202 4.428214 6.920199 10.174671
2025-06-08 0.005041 0.290491 1.060796 2.428174 4.421123 6.986136 10.352837
2025-06-15 0.002424 0.275989 1.057444 2.465604 4.532357 7.202845 10.717010
2025-06-22 0.000462 0.252655 1.033717 2.469657 4.596477 7.358591 11.005354